| Andreeva Ekaterina Andreevna, Belyakova Alena Andreevna, Lomovtsev Alexey Alekseevich
Influence of the price of petroleum and other factors on the dynamics of the ruble exchange rate
ID number: J201991
Abstract: The article presents the results of the analysis of the degree of influence of various macroeconomic factors, such as the price of petroleum, the rate of inflation, net exports and others, on strengthening the ruble exchange rate. In addition, models have been built, with the help of which it is possible to set the forecast values ??for the course for 2019. To obtain the results, econometric modeling and time series analysis were used. The results of the analysis can be used to obtain the most accurate forecasted values ??of the exchange rate for the most accurate planning in the economic and financial spheres of the country.
Key-words: correlation analysis, exchange rate, forecasting, inflation, net exports, determination coefficient, model quality criterion
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